R&D Pipeline Value Jumps 18% to $493 Billion

Emerging therapeutic categories and a string of breakthrough drug approvals are powering key drug sales across the US and Europe, fueling a projected 5% increase in global prescription sales over the next five years according to the “EvaluatePharma World Preview 2015, Outlook to 2020” report from life science market intelligence firm Evaluate Ltd.

The report cites FDA’s approval of 50 drugs in 2014, eight of which are forecast to have sales of more than $1 billion five years after launch, as an indicator that sustained R&D productivity may be within reach.

“Any fears that the pharmaceutical industry might be heading towards a slowdown after the last two years of phenomenal growth can be put to rest for now,” said Lisa Urquhart, Editor of EP Vantage, the editorial arm of Evaluate in a statement. “However, for the industry to sustain this impressive growth they will have to make compromises around global pricing and market access. As such, pharmaceutical companies need to either accept lower prices for its products, or persuade payers that the therapeutic benefits outweigh the cost of disease.”

Other findings in the report include:

• Worldwide prescription drug sales to reach nearly $1 trillion by 2020 with a CAGR of 4.8% between 2014 and 2020

• 2014 US prescription drug sales surge 8.9%; Europe returns to growth with a 2.4% jump while Japanese sales in yen dropped by 2.6%

• R&D pipeline values increase to $492.8 billion from $418.5 billion in 2014; Gilead’s potential new combination hepatitis C product valued highest at $24.8 billion

• Humira remained the top-selling product in 2014 with sales of $13.9 billion; Sovaldi debuts at number two with sales of $10 billion

• FDA approves record-breaking 50 new drugs in 2014 with a 43 percent increase in five-year post-launch sales potential; Bristol-Myers Squibb’s Opdivo was the number one approval

• Novartis will remain the number one pharmaceutical company through 2020 with total prescription drug sales of $53.3 billion

• Value of merger and acquisition transactions almost doubled to $116 billion in 2014; value of venture financing deals increase 36% to $8.2 billion

Source: EvaluatePharma